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Creating predictions without historical data

Updated on March 11, 2021

Anticipate business events and customer behavior by creating predictions that learn in real time, based on the incoming outcomes of customer interactions.

  1. In the navigation pane of Prediction Studio, click Predictions.
  2. In the header of the Predictions work area, click New.
  3. In the New prediction window, specify the subject and objective of the prediction.
    For example: To predict whether a customer is likely to accept an offer, select the following settings:
    1. In the Subject of the prediction list, select Customer.
    2. In the The objective is to predict list, select Acceptance.
  4. Start the Prediction wizard by clicking Start.
  5. In the Select data wizard step, click I do not have historical data.
  6. Confirm your settings by clicking Next.
  7. In the Define outcomes wizard step, specify the possible outcomes of the prediction by clicking the Properties icon.
    For example: To predict whether a customer is likely to accept an offer, specify the following outcomes:
    1. In the Predict the likelihood to field, enter Accept.
    2. In the With alternate outcome field, enter Reject.
  8. Confirm the prediction outcomes by clicking Next.
  9. In the Select predictors wizard step, select the fields that you want to use as input for the prediction.
    To increase the accuracy of your prediction, select a wide range of fields to use as predictors. Do not include fields that are not suitable as predictors, for example, the Identifier and Date Time fields. For more information, see Best practices for adaptive and predictive model predictors on Pega Community.
  10. Confirm your choice of predictors by clicking Next.
    When you create a prediction, Prediction Studio creates an adaptive model as the basis of the prediction. For more information, see Adaptive analytics.
  11. Optional: To change the name of the adaptive model, in the Review model step, click the Edit icon, and then enter a model name, for example, Predict offer acceptance.
  12. Create the prediction by clicking Create.
  13. Review the prediction configuration, and then click Save.
  14. Optional: To review the adaptive model that is the basis of the prediction, on the Outcome definition tab, click Open model.
Result: The prediction is now available in the Predictions workspace.
What to do next: Include the prediction in your application, for example, as part of a decision strategy.

For more information, see Defining a Prediction shape.

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